# Ascending Broadening Wedge

Source: https://chartdatabase.com/research/ascending_broadening_wedge/
Markdown: https://chartdatabase.com/research/ascending_broadening_wedge.md
Bias: bearish.
Each candle timeframe is a separate sample. The HTML page opens on 1h. Correlation, Fuel, and feature-bin tables below are for that default timeframe. The comparison tables list every timeframe.

## Timeframe comparison

| TF | n | Mean up | Mean down | Up/|Down| | Hit % | BO % | BD % | SW % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 15m | 2927 | 2.388 | -2.994 | 0.798 | 77.66 | 12.81 | 77.66 | 9.53 |
| 1h | 9813 | 4.34 | -5.335 | 0.813 | 75.8 | 14.78 | 75.8 | 9.42 |
| 4h | 2550 | 11.966 | -10.037 | 1.192 | 69.45 | 22.04 | 69.45 | 8.51 |
| 1d | 175 | 35.394 | -18.895 | 1.873 | 61.14 | 31.43 | 61.14 | 7.43 |

## Timeframe breakdown

| TF | n | Coins | Hit % | BO % | BD % | SW % | Med % | Mean % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 15m | 2927 | 541 | 77.66 | 12.81 | 77.66 | 9.53 | -0.543 | -0.431 |
| 1h | 9813 | 644 | 75.8 | 14.78 | 75.8 | 9.42 | -1.106 | -0.624 |
| 4h | 2550 | 517 | 69.45 | 22.04 | 69.45 | 8.51 | -1.374 | 0.813 |
| 1d | 175 | 131 | 61.14 | 31.43 | 61.14 | 7.43 | -1.857 | 7.82 |

## Feature correlations (1h)

Spearman rank, within this pattern and timeframe. sig marks p < 0.05, p < 0.01, and p < 0.001.

### Breakout success

| Feature | rho | p | n | sig |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| current_scale_number | 0.5826 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| rsi_14 | 0.5587 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| momentum_score | 0.3456 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| volume_score | 0.2285 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| btc_dist14_mean | -0.1943 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| geom_resistance_slope | -0.1404 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| geom_support_slope | -0.1289 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| extension_progress | -0.0202 | 0.045582 | 9813 | — |
| geom_height | -0.0196 | 0.052492 | 9813 | — |
| extension_candle_offset | -0.0162 | 0.109588 | 9813 | — |
| geom_width | -0.002 | 0.846105 | 9813 | — |

### Breakdown success

| Feature | rho | p | n | sig |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| current_scale_number | -0.6016 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| rsi_14 | -0.5123 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| momentum_score | -0.2838 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| extension_candle_offset | -0.2113 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| extension_progress | -0.1928 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| btc_dist14_mean | 0.192 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| volume_score | -0.1682 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| geom_support_slope | 0.141 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| geom_resistance_slope | 0.0947 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| geom_width | -0.0724 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| geom_height | -0.0176 | 0.081672 | 9813 | — |

### Close return

| Feature | rho | p | n | sig |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| rsi_14 | 0.1286 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| current_scale_number | 0.1256 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| geom_support_slope | -0.0965 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| geom_resistance_slope | -0.0921 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| momentum_score | 0.0799 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| geom_height | -0.0532 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| volume_score | 0.0475 | 2e-06 | 9813 | — |
| btc_dist14_mean | -0.0286 | 0.004542 | 9813 | — |
| extension_progress | 0.0273 | 0.00688 | 9813 | — |
| extension_candle_offset | 0.0269 | 0.007804 | 9813 | — |
| geom_width | 0.0076 | 0.449016 | 9813 | — |

### Max-up (MFE)

| Feature | rho | p | n | sig |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| rsi_14 | 0.2355 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| momentum_score | 0.234 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| current_scale_number | 0.2213 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| geom_height | 0.1288 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| geom_resistance_slope | 0.123 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| volume_score | 0.0967 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| geom_support_slope | 0.0911 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| btc_dist14_mean | -0.0556 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| extension_progress | 0.0462 | 5e-06 | 9813 | — |
| extension_candle_offset | 0.0413 | 4.2e-05 | 9813 | — |
| geom_width | -0.0 | 0.998315 | 9813 | — |

### Max-down (MAE)

| Feature | rho | p | n | sig |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| geom_resistance_slope | -0.3149 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| geom_support_slope | -0.2991 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| geom_height | -0.2432 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| rsi_14 | 0.1521 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| current_scale_number | 0.1056 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| btc_dist14_mean | -0.0851 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| extension_progress | 0.0673 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| extension_candle_offset | 0.0592 | 0.0 | 9813 | *** |
| volume_score | 0.0448 | 9e-06 | 9813 | — |
| momentum_score | -0.0175 | 0.083055 | 9813 | — |
| geom_width | -0.0091 | 0.369163 | 9813 | — |

## Fuel zones (1h)

### volume score

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % | FM % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Dead Water | 0.00–0.33 | 9942 | 4.662 | -4.291 | 10.49 | 62.59 | 5.35 | 21.57 |
| Organic Flow | 0.34–0.66 | 6985 | 5.03 | -4.409 | 16.13 | 54.43 | 4.14 | 25.3 |
| The Powder Keg | 0.67–1.00 | 3936 | 5.426 | -5.419 | 28.1 | 41.64 | 2.64 | 27.62 |

### momentum score

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % | FM % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Organic Flow | 0.34–0.66 | 13265 | 4.217 | -4.292 | 8.13 | 67.66 | 5.51 | 18.7 |
| The Powder Keg | 0.67–1.00 | 7598 | 6.174 | -4.982 | 28.92 | 35.39 | 2.55 | 33.14 |

## Feature bins (1h)

### rsi 14

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % | FM % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10–30 | 10–30 | 320 | 5.961 | -3.013 | 2.19 | 47.5 | 1.25 | 49.06 |
| 30–50 | 30–50 | 12576 | 4.697 | -3.981 | 4.27 | 67.18 | 3.65 | 24.9 |
| 50–70 | 50–70 | 5613 | 5.272 | -4.912 | 27.17 | 49.06 | 7.61 | 16.16 |
| 70–90 | 70–90 | 2345 | 5.212 | -6.857 | 51.13 | 13.13 | 1.5 | 34.24 |

### height

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Below typical | 1 – 1.77 | 1644 | 3.063 | -4.001 | 16.12 | 76.46 | 7.42 |
| Typical | 1.77 – 6.64 | 6584 | 4.152 | -5.123 | 14.78 | 76.23 | 8.99 |
| Elevated | 6.64 – 11.7 | 1242 | 6.0 | -7.051 | 13.2 | 74.48 | 12.32 |
| Extreme | 11.7 – 73 | 343 | 8.055 | -9.577 | 13.99 | 69.1 | 16.91 |

### width

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Below typical | 21 – 61.6 | 1773 | 4.173 | -5.255 | 15.85 | 78.57 | 5.58 |
| Typical | 61.6 – 135 | 6253 | 4.42 | -5.297 | 14.01 | 77.15 | 8.84 |
| Elevated | 135 – 172 | 1537 | 4.31 | -5.488 | 15.88 | 68.84 | 15.28 |
| Extreme | 172 – 188 | 250 | 3.68 | -5.898 | 19.6 | 65.2 | 15.2 |

### Formation age

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % | FM % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Typical | -0.0431 – 0.301 | 17851 | 4.995 | -4.455 | 16.11 | 55.12 | 1.31 | 27.46 |
| Elevated | 0.301 – 0.517 | 1678 | 4.268 | -5.162 | 14.78 | 69.79 | 9.65 | 5.78 |
| Extreme | 0.517 – 1 | 1334 | 4.892 | -4.941 | 11.39 | 49.03 | 39.58 | 0.0 |

### resistance slope

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Q1 | 0.0173 – 0.106 | 2454 | 3.316 | -3.738 | 22.7 | 68.74 | 8.56 |
| Q2 | 0.106 – 0.165 | 2453 | 3.89 | -4.682 | 14.8 | 76.36 | 8.84 |
| Q3 | 0.165 – 0.259 | 2453 | 4.458 | -5.606 | 12.27 | 78.35 | 9.38 |
| Q4 | 0.259 – 2.54 | 2453 | 5.694 | -7.314 | 9.34 | 79.74 | 10.92 |

### support slope

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Q1 | 0.009 – 0.0567 | 2454 | 3.531 | -3.92 | 22.66 | 65.61 | 11.73 |
| Q2 | 0.0567 – 0.0946 | 2453 | 3.898 | -4.675 | 14.27 | 76.6 | 9.13 |
| Q3 | 0.0946 – 0.156 | 2453 | 4.613 | -5.441 | 11.78 | 78.35 | 9.87 |
| Q4 | 0.156 – 1.72 | 2453 | 5.317 | -7.304 | 10.4 | 82.63 | 6.97 |

### btc mean

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % | FM % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Q1 | -9.79 – -0.377 | 5216 | 4.949 | -5.21 | 25.9 | 44.1 | 5.06 | 24.94 |
| Q2 | -0.377 – 0.113 | 5218 | 4.349 | -4.528 | 16.4 | 57.13 | 5.5 | 20.97 |
| Q3 | 0.113 – 0.636 | 5213 | 4.609 | -4.151 | 12.1 | 61.67 | 4.27 | 21.96 |
| Q4 | 0.636 – 10.3 | 5216 | 5.812 | -4.283 | 8.4 | 60.74 | 2.91 | 27.95 |

### Pattern scale

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % | FM % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Q1 | -0.296 – 0 | 10510 | 5.078 | -3.564 | 4.93 | 65.1 | 1.66 | 28.31 |
| Q2 | 0 – 0.289 | 5137 | 3.407 | -5.26 | 2.8 | 77.38 | 8.0 | 11.82 |
| Q3 | 0.289 – 1.23 | 5216 | 6.131 | -5.811 | 50.12 | 16.24 | 6.49 | 27.15 |