# Bullish Flag

Source: https://chartdatabase.com/research/bullish_flag/
Markdown: https://chartdatabase.com/research/bullish_flag.md
Bias: bullish.
Each candle timeframe is a separate sample. The HTML page opens on 1h. Correlation, Fuel, and feature-bin tables below are for that default timeframe. The comparison tables list every timeframe.

## Timeframe comparison

| TF | n | Mean up | Mean down | Up/|Down| | Hit % | BO % | BD % | SW % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 15m | 1202 | 2.593 | -1.771 | 1.464 | 77.12 | 77.12 | 19.47 | 3.41 |
| 1h | 3791 | 5.514 | -3.798 | 1.452 | 78.87 | 78.87 | 17.67 | 3.46 |
| 4h | 948 | 12.37 | -7.888 | 1.568 | 81.96 | 81.96 | 15.82 | 2.22 |
| 1d | 135 | 36.331 | -17.762 | 2.045 | 80.74 | 80.74 | 18.52 | 0.74 |

## Timeframe breakdown

| TF | n | Coins | Hit % | BO % | BD % | SW % | Med % | Mean % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 15m | 1202 | 477 | 77.12 | 77.12 | 19.47 | 3.41 | 0.08 | 0.254 |
| 1h | 3791 | 592 | 78.87 | 78.87 | 17.67 | 3.46 | 0.153 | 0.681 |
| 4h | 948 | 388 | 81.96 | 81.96 | 15.82 | 2.22 | 0.247 | 1.29 |
| 1d | 135 | 118 | 80.74 | 80.74 | 18.52 | 0.74 | 1.787 | 6.852 |

## Feature correlations (1h)

Spearman rank, within this pattern and timeframe. sig marks p < 0.05, p < 0.01, and p < 0.001.

### Breakout success

| Feature | rho | p | n | sig |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| extension_progress | -0.3513 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| extension_candle_offset | -0.349 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| rsi_14 | 0.2797 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| geom_support_slope | -0.1945 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| geom_height | 0.1902 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| geom_resistance_slope | -0.1883 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| current_scale_number | 0.1608 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| geom_breakout_potential | 0.065 | 6.2e-05 | 3791 | *** |
| btc_dist14_mean | -0.0617 | 0.000144 | 3791 | *** |
| volume_score | 0.0312 | 0.054848 | 3791 | — |
| momentum_score | -0.0095 | 0.556753 | 3791 | — |

### Breakdown success

| Feature | rho | p | n | sig |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| extension_progress | 0.3344 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| extension_candle_offset | 0.3315 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| rsi_14 | -0.2667 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| geom_support_slope | 0.182 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| geom_height | -0.1698 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| geom_resistance_slope | 0.1678 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| current_scale_number | -0.1669 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| btc_dist14_mean | 0.0776 | 2e-06 | 3791 | *** |
| geom_breakout_potential | -0.0611 | 0.000166 | 3791 | *** |
| momentum_score | 0.0231 | 0.154397 | 3791 | — |
| volume_score | 0.0058 | 0.721678 | 3791 | — |

### Close return

| Feature | rho | p | n | sig |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| current_scale_number | -0.0735 | 6e-06 | 3791 | *** |
| rsi_14 | -0.0455 | 0.005088 | 3791 | — |
| btc_dist14_mean | 0.0434 | 0.007577 | 3791 | — |
| geom_breakout_potential | 0.0424 | 0.008991 | 3791 | — |
| geom_support_slope | -0.0402 | 0.013303 | 3791 | — |
| geom_height | 0.0349 | 0.031629 | 3791 | — |
| extension_candle_offset | 0.0283 | 0.081757 | 3791 | — |
| geom_resistance_slope | -0.0282 | 0.082453 | 3791 | — |
| extension_progress | 0.0191 | 0.240116 | 3791 | — |
| volume_score | 0.0088 | 0.586795 | 3791 | — |
| momentum_score | -0.0017 | 0.914406 | 3791 | — |

### Max-up (MFE)

| Feature | rho | p | n | sig |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| momentum_score | 0.1831 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| current_scale_number | -0.1072 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| geom_height | 0.1031 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| geom_support_slope | -0.1007 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| geom_resistance_slope | -0.098 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| btc_dist14_mean | 0.0637 | 8.6e-05 | 3791 | *** |
| rsi_14 | 0.0572 | 0.00043 | 3791 | *** |
| geom_breakout_potential | 0.0428 | 0.008439 | 3791 | — |
| volume_score | -0.0275 | 0.090646 | 3791 | — |
| extension_progress | -0.0218 | 0.179176 | 3791 | — |
| extension_candle_offset | -0.0147 | 0.366361 | 3791 | — |

### Max-down (MAE)

| Feature | rho | p | n | sig |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| momentum_score | -0.1778 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| current_scale_number | -0.0935 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| rsi_14 | -0.093 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| extension_candle_offset | 0.0867 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| extension_progress | 0.0836 | 0.0 | 3791 | *** |
| geom_resistance_slope | 0.0626 | 0.000116 | 3791 | *** |
| geom_height | -0.0511 | 0.001648 | 3791 | ** |
| geom_support_slope | 0.0429 | 0.008202 | 3791 | — |
| btc_dist14_mean | 0.0363 | 0.025352 | 3791 | — |
| geom_breakout_potential | 0.0179 | 0.269315 | 3791 | — |
| volume_score | 0.0152 | 0.349663 | 3791 | — |

## Fuel zones (1h)

### volume score

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % | FM % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Dead Water | 0.00–0.33 | 4304 | 4.859 | -3.967 | 69.24 | 24.49 | 2.51 | 3.76 |
| Organic Flow | 0.34–0.66 | 1704 | 4.651 | -4.007 | 69.66 | 25.53 | 1.29 | 3.52 |
| The Powder Keg | 0.67–1.00 | 342 | 4.742 | -3.993 | 68.71 | 28.65 | 0.3 | 2.34 |

### momentum score

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % | FM % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Organic Flow | 0.34–0.66 | 5606 | 4.316 | -3.741 | 68.23 | 25.72 | 2.18 | 3.87 |
| The Powder Keg | 0.67–1.00 | 744 | 8.425 | -5.778 | 77.55 | 19.49 | 1.21 | 1.75 |

## Feature bins (1h)

### rsi 14

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % | FM % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 30–50 | 30–50 | 944 | 4.833 | -3.639 | 47.88 | 45.02 | 2.86 | 4.24 |
| 50–70 | 50–70 | 5259 | 4.729 | -4.014 | 72.64 | 21.77 | 1.98 | 3.61 |
| 70–90 | 70–90 | 142 | 7.193 | -4.969 | 91.55 | 8.45 | 0.0 | 0.0 |

### height

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Typical | -0.446 – 2.3 | 3516 | 5.504 | -3.795 | 77.3 | 18.97 | 3.73 |
| Elevated | 2.3 – 7.06 | 107 | 5.866 | -3.714 | 99.07 | 0.93 | 0.0 |
| Extreme | 7.06 – 1.69e+04 | 168 | 5.491 | -3.9 | 98.81 | 1.19 | -0.0 |

### Formation age

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % | FM % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Typical | -0.0448 – 0.157 | 5638 | 4.883 | -4.021 | 73.2 | 21.23 | 1.9 | 3.67 |
| Elevated | 0.157 – 0.274 | 451 | 3.899 | -3.76 | 42.35 | 50.78 | 2.88 | 3.99 |
| Extreme | 0.274 – 1.78 | 261 | 4.491 | -3.464 | 32.18 | 61.69 | 4.21 | 1.92 |

### breakout potential

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Q1 | 0.599 – 0.8 | 3689 | 5.499 | -3.81 | 78.34 | 18.11 | 3.55 |
| Q2 | 0.8 – 1 | 102 | 6.037 | -3.35 | 98.04 | 1.96 | -0.0 |

### resistance slope

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Q1 | -1.17e+03 – -0.01 | 950 | 6.169 | -4.046 | 91.47 | 7.58 | 0.95 |
| Q2 | -0.01 – -0.00125 | 946 | 5.933 | -4.263 | 78.54 | 17.76 | 3.7 |
| Q3 | -0.00125 – -0.000184 | 948 | 5.513 | -3.539 | 74.79 | 21.1 | 4.11 |
| Q4 | -0.000184 – 0 | 947 | 4.438 | -3.343 | 70.64 | 24.29 | 5.07 |

### support slope

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Q1 | -701 – -0.00675 | 952 | 6.183 | -4.091 | 90.23 | 7.88 | 1.89 |
| Q2 | -0.00675 – -0.000767 | 946 | 5.867 | -3.928 | 80.13 | 16.7 | 3.17 |
| Q3 | -0.000767 – -0.0001 | 966 | 5.609 | -3.635 | 75.05 | 20.19 | 4.76 |
| Q4 | -0.0001 – 0 | 927 | 4.365 | -3.534 | 69.9 | 26.11 | 3.99 |

### btc mean

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % | FM % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Q1 | -8.8 – -0.647 | 1588 | 4.463 | -4.325 | 71.1 | 21.41 | 2.2 | 5.29 |
| Q2 | -0.647 – -0.136 | 1587 | 4.333 | -3.649 | 69.38 | 24.2 | 2.07 | 4.35 |
| Q3 | -0.136 – 0.211 | 1587 | 4.525 | -3.62 | 70.01 | 25.14 | 2.14 | 2.71 |
| Q4 | 0.211 – 6.44 | 1588 | 5.867 | -4.324 | 66.81 | 29.22 | 1.83 | 2.14 |

### Pattern scale

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % | FM % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Q1 | -1.44e+13 – 1.04 | 1588 | 4.793 | -3.879 | 50.19 | 42.82 | 1.01 | 5.98 |
| Q2 | 1.04 – 1.22 | 1587 | 4.92 | -3.924 | 71.27 | 21.8 | 2.27 | 4.66 |
| Q3 | 1.22 – 1.55 | 1587 | 5.047 | -3.973 | 76.12 | 18.71 | 2.33 | 2.84 |
| Q4 | 1.55 – 8.65e+13 | 1588 | 4.428 | -4.142 | 79.72 | 16.62 | 2.65 | 1.01 |