# Symmetrical Triangle

Source: https://chartdatabase.com/research/symmetrical_triangle/
Markdown: https://chartdatabase.com/research/symmetrical_triangle.md
Bias: neutral.
Each candle timeframe is a separate sample. The HTML page opens on 1h. Correlation, Fuel, and feature-bin tables below are for that default timeframe. The comparison tables list every timeframe.

## Timeframe comparison

| TF | n | Mean up | Mean down | Up/|Down| | Hit % | BO % | BD % | SW % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 15m | 985 | 2.162 | -1.791 | 1.207 | — | 45.89 | 52.28 | 1.83 |
| 1h | 2469 | 3.975 | -3.94 | 1.009 | — | 45.2 | 52.69 | 2.11 |
| 4h | 780 | 8.923 | -8.285 | 1.077 | — | 45.0 | 53.08 | 1.92 |
| 1d | 93 | 26.497 | -21.171 | 1.252 | — | 45.16 | 53.76 | 1.08 |

## Timeframe breakdown

| TF | n | Coins | Hit % | BO % | BD % | SW % | Med % | Mean % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 15m | 985 | 454 | — | 45.89 | 52.28 | 1.83 | -0.111 | 0.079 |
| 1h | 2469 | 559 | — | 45.2 | 52.69 | 2.11 | -0.218 | -0.091 |
| 4h | 780 | 386 | — | 45.0 | 53.08 | 1.92 | -1.325 | -0.651 |
| 1d | 93 | 81 | — | 45.16 | 53.76 | 1.08 | -3.927 | 0.371 |

## Feature correlations (1h)

Spearman rank, within this pattern and timeframe. sig marks p < 0.05, p < 0.01, and p < 0.001.

### Breakout success

| Feature | rho | p | n | sig |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| current_scale_number | 0.5215 | 0.0 | 2469 | *** |
| rsi_14 | 0.5019 | 0.0 | 2469 | *** |
| btc_dist14_mean | -0.181 | 0.0 | 2469 | *** |
| momentum_score | 0.0184 | 0.361031 | 2469 | — |
| volume_score | 0.0176 | 0.380856 | 2469 | — |
| geom_width | 0.0171 | 0.396397 | 2469 | — |
| extension_candle_offset | 0.0124 | 0.539387 | 2469 | — |
| extension_progress | 0.0105 | 0.602328 | 2469 | — |
| geom_support_slope | -0.0079 | 0.695466 | 2469 | — |
| geom_resistance_slope | 0.0054 | 0.790144 | 2469 | — |
| geom_height | 0.0051 | 0.800403 | 2469 | — |

### Breakdown success

| Feature | rho | p | n | sig |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| current_scale_number | -0.525 | 0.0 | 2469 | *** |
| rsi_14 | -0.4969 | 0.0 | 2469 | *** |
| btc_dist14_mean | 0.1844 | 0.0 | 2469 | *** |
| geom_width | -0.0354 | 0.078226 | 2469 | — |
| geom_height | -0.0236 | 0.240547 | 2469 | — |
| momentum_score | -0.013 | 0.519601 | 2469 | — |
| volume_score | -0.0116 | 0.56313 | 2469 | — |
| geom_resistance_slope | 0.0062 | 0.759749 | 2469 | — |
| extension_progress | 0.0062 | 0.759101 | 2469 | — |
| extension_candle_offset | -0.0022 | 0.913794 | 2469 | — |
| geom_support_slope | -0.0018 | 0.928385 | 2469 | — |

### Close return

| Feature | rho | p | n | sig |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| current_scale_number | 0.1509 | 0.0 | 2469 | *** |
| rsi_14 | 0.1298 | 0.0 | 2469 | *** |
| geom_support_slope | -0.0273 | 0.174802 | 2469 | — |
| momentum_score | -0.0179 | 0.374134 | 2469 | — |
| btc_dist14_mean | -0.0177 | 0.378211 | 2469 | — |
| extension_progress | 0.0176 | 0.382958 | 2469 | — |
| extension_candle_offset | 0.0166 | 0.408315 | 2469 | — |
| geom_height | -0.0149 | 0.460409 | 2469 | — |
| volume_score | 0.0147 | 0.46569 | 2469 | — |
| geom_width | 0.0057 | 0.777165 | 2469 | — |
| geom_resistance_slope | 0.002 | 0.921911 | 2469 | — |

### Max-up (MFE)

| Feature | rho | p | n | sig |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| geom_height | 0.2283 | 0.0 | 2469 | *** |
| current_scale_number | 0.2219 | 0.0 | 2469 | *** |
| geom_resistance_slope | -0.2198 | 0.0 | 2469 | *** |
| rsi_14 | 0.2023 | 0.0 | 2469 | *** |
| geom_support_slope | 0.2018 | 0.0 | 2469 | *** |
| momentum_score | 0.1191 | 0.0 | 2469 | *** |
| btc_dist14_mean | -0.0564 | 0.005053 | 2469 | ** |
| geom_width | 0.0264 | 0.189476 | 2469 | — |
| extension_candle_offset | 0.0198 | 0.326274 | 2469 | — |
| extension_progress | 0.0107 | 0.594767 | 2469 | — |
| volume_score | -0.0052 | 0.797803 | 2469 | — |

### Max-down (MAE)

| Feature | rho | p | n | sig |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| geom_height | -0.2163 | 0.0 | 2469 | *** |
| geom_support_slope | -0.2084 | 0.0 | 2469 | *** |
| rsi_14 | 0.2059 | 0.0 | 2469 | *** |
| geom_resistance_slope | 0.2004 | 0.0 | 2469 | *** |
| current_scale_number | 0.1988 | 0.0 | 2469 | *** |
| momentum_score | -0.1326 | 0.0 | 2469 | *** |
| btc_dist14_mean | -0.0612 | 0.002331 | 2469 | ** |
| volume_score | 0.0206 | 0.306419 | 2469 | — |
| extension_progress | 0.0196 | 0.329185 | 2469 | — |
| geom_width | -0.0183 | 0.363711 | 2469 | — |
| extension_candle_offset | 0.0134 | 0.504759 | 2469 | — |

## Fuel zones (1h)

### volume score

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % | FM % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Dead Water | 0.00–0.33 | 2873 | 3.859 | -3.923 | 41.63 | 50.78 | 1.01 | 6.58 |
| Organic Flow | 0.34–0.66 | 1914 | 3.857 | -3.83 | 43.26 | 48.9 | 0.89 | 6.95 |
| The Powder Keg | 0.67–1.00 | 552 | 3.399 | -4.181 | 38.59 | 51.09 | 1.08 | 9.24 |

### momentum score

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % | FM % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Organic Flow | 0.34–0.66 | 4974 | 3.753 | -3.889 | 42.12 | 50.94 | 1.03 | 5.91 |
| The Powder Keg | 0.67–1.00 | 365 | 4.598 | -4.29 | 38.9 | 39.18 | 0.28 | 21.64 |

## Feature bins (1h)

### rsi 14

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % | FM % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 30–50 | 30–50 | 2769 | 4.392 | -3.484 | 39.04 | 53.74 | 1.15 | 6.07 |
| 50–70 | 50–70 | 2554 | 3.18 | -4.376 | 45.11 | 46.28 | 0.78 | 7.83 |

### height

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Below typical | 1.3 – 6.33 | 389 | 2.527 | -2.825 | 46.53 | 52.19 | 1.28 |
| Typical | 6.33 – 27.7 | 1695 | 3.781 | -3.782 | 44.48 | 53.81 | 1.71 |
| Elevated | 27.7 – 55.9 | 303 | 5.494 | -5.482 | 47.52 | 47.85 | 4.63 |
| Extreme | 55.9 – 253 | 82 | 9.228 | -6.791 | 45.12 | 50.0 | 4.88 |

### width

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Below typical | 20 – 54.3 | 447 | 3.768 | -3.964 | 41.83 | 57.27 | 0.9 |
| Typical | 54.3 – 105 | 1554 | 4.033 | -3.973 | 45.69 | 52.32 | 1.99 |
| Elevated | 105 – 130 | 428 | 3.943 | -3.822 | 47.43 | 48.83 | 3.74 |
| Extreme | 130 – 137 | 40 | 4.371 | -3.606 | 40.0 | 57.5 | 2.5 |

### Formation age

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % | FM % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Typical | -0.0143 – 0.0999 | 4740 | 3.808 | -3.903 | 41.67 | 49.64 | 0.97 | 7.72 |
| Elevated | 0.0999 – 0.162 | 381 | 3.781 | -3.755 | 46.46 | 52.49 | 0.79 | 0.26 |
| Extreme | 0.162 – 0.812 | 218 | 3.917 | -4.484 | 38.99 | 56.88 | 1.38 | 2.75 |

### resistance slope

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Q1 | -1.12 – -0.103 | 618 | 5.64 | -5.376 | 43.53 | 53.4 | 3.07 |
| Q2 | -0.103 – -0.0667 | 617 | 4.035 | -3.628 | 46.84 | 51.05 | 2.11 |
| Q3 | -0.0667 – -0.0428 | 617 | 3.333 | -3.648 | 45.06 | 53.65 | 1.29 |
| Q4 | -0.0428 – -0.0102 | 617 | 2.886 | -3.104 | 45.38 | 52.67 | 1.95 |

### support slope

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Q1 | 0.0092 – 0.0415 | 618 | 2.897 | -3.156 | 44.98 | 53.4 | 1.62 |
| Q2 | 0.0415 – 0.0681 | 617 | 3.484 | -3.479 | 46.52 | 51.86 | 1.62 |
| Q3 | 0.0681 – 0.107 | 617 | 4.193 | -3.928 | 46.03 | 51.7 | 2.27 |
| Q4 | 0.107 – 0.964 | 617 | 5.326 | -5.197 | 43.27 | 53.81 | 2.92 |

### btc mean

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % | FM % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Q1 | -10.6 – -0.403 | 1336 | 4.06 | -4.544 | 43.94 | 46.56 | 0.89 | 8.61 |
| Q2 | -0.403 – -0.0504 | 1334 | 3.246 | -3.818 | 41.68 | 50.3 | 0.82 | 7.2 |
| Q3 | -0.0504 – 0.295 | 1334 | 3.349 | -3.48 | 40.93 | 52.55 | 1.72 | 4.8 |
| Q4 | 0.295 – 8.53 | 1335 | 4.587 | -3.822 | 41.05 | 51.16 | 0.45 | 7.34 |

### Pattern scale

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % | FM % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Q1 | -286 – 0 | 2052 | 4.472 | -3.338 | 38.06 | 55.21 | 0.78 | 5.95 |
| Q2 | 0 – 0.479 | 618 | 3.968 | -3.804 | 38.03 | 53.24 | 1.61 | 7.12 |
| Q3 | 0.479 – 1 | 1761 | 2.655 | -5.047 | 29.24 | 58.89 | 0.34 | 11.53 |
| Q4 | 1 – 512 | 908 | 4.452 | -3.107 | 77.75 | 19.6 | 2.21 | 0.44 |