# Triple Top

Source: https://chartdatabase.com/research/triple_top/
Markdown: https://chartdatabase.com/research/triple_top.md
Bias: bearish.
Each candle timeframe is a separate sample. The HTML page opens on 1h. Correlation, Fuel, and feature-bin tables below are for that default timeframe. The comparison tables list every timeframe.

## Timeframe comparison

| TF | n | Mean up | Mean down | Up/|Down| | Hit % | BO % | BD % | SW % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 15m | 14 | 1.466 | -3.39 | 0.432 | 85.71 | 7.14 | 85.71 | 7.15 |
| 1h | 88 | 2.072 | -6.374 | 0.325 | 84.09 | 11.36 | 84.09 | 4.55 |
| 4h | 16 | 4.37 | -12.912 | 0.338 | 81.25 | 12.5 | 81.25 | 6.25 |
| 1d | 1 | 1.793 | -20.66 | 0.087 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 |

## Timeframe breakdown

| TF | n | Coins | Hit % | BO % | BD % | SW % | Med % | Mean % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 15m | 14 | 14 | 85.71 | 7.14 | 85.71 | 7.15 | -1.995 | -2.039 |
| 1h | 88 | 78 | 84.09 | 11.36 | 84.09 | 4.55 | -3.253 | -3.212 |
| 4h | 16 | 16 | 81.25 | 12.5 | 81.25 | 6.25 | -6.573 | -4.779 |
| 1d | 1 | 1 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | -14.342 | -14.342 |

## Feature correlations (1h)

Spearman rank, within this pattern and timeframe. sig marks p < 0.05, p < 0.01, and p < 0.001.

### Breakout success

| Feature | rho | p | n | sig |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| btc_dist14_mean | -0.1579 | 0.141706 | 88 | — |
| rsi_14 | 0.1269 | 0.238868 | 88 | — |
| current_scale_number | 0.1128 | 0.295533 | 88 | — |
| momentum_score | -0.1107 | 0.304623 | 88 | — |
| volume_score | 0.0888 | 0.410569 | 88 | — |
| geom_width | 0.0649 | 0.54806 | 88 | — |
| geom_height | -0.0507 | 0.638695 | 88 | — |

### Breakdown success

| Feature | rho | p | n | sig |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| current_scale_number | -0.1859 | 0.082882 | 88 | — |
| btc_dist14_mean | 0.1798 | 0.093604 | 88 | — |
| geom_width | -0.175 | 0.102857 | 88 | — |
| momentum_score | 0.1107 | 0.304459 | 88 | — |
| rsi_14 | -0.1003 | 0.352513 | 88 | — |
| geom_height | 0.0391 | 0.71732 | 88 | — |
| volume_score | -0.0122 | 0.909938 | 88 | — |

### Close return

| Feature | rho | p | n | sig |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| geom_width | 0.2586 | 0.014976 | 88 | — |
| geom_height | 0.1649 | 0.124722 | 88 | — |
| current_scale_number | -0.0892 | 0.408308 | 88 | — |
| btc_dist14_mean | -0.0575 | 0.594865 | 88 | — |
| rsi_14 | -0.0566 | 0.60064 | 88 | — |
| volume_score | 0.036 | 0.739184 | 88 | — |
| momentum_score | 0.0285 | 0.792087 | 88 | — |

### Max-up (MFE)

| Feature | rho | p | n | sig |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| geom_width | 0.2523 | 0.0177 | 88 | — |
| current_scale_number | -0.191 | 0.074597 | 88 | — |
| momentum_score | 0.1508 | 0.160693 | 88 | — |
| geom_height | 0.1159 | 0.282233 | 88 | — |
| rsi_14 | -0.0852 | 0.429755 | 88 | — |
| btc_dist14_mean | 0.0036 | 0.973166 | 88 | — |
| volume_score | 0.0013 | 0.990579 | 88 | — |

### Max-down (MAE)

| Feature | rho | p | n | sig |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| btc_dist14_mean | -0.1996 | 0.06229 | 88 | — |
| geom_width | 0.1954 | 0.068033 | 88 | — |
| geom_height | 0.1069 | 0.321691 | 88 | — |
| momentum_score | -0.0947 | 0.380314 | 88 | — |
| current_scale_number | 0.093 | 0.388538 | 88 | — |
| rsi_14 | -0.079 | 0.46437 | 88 | — |
| volume_score | 0.0669 | 0.535734 | 88 | — |

## Fuel zones (1h)

### volume score

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % | FM % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Dead Water | 0.00–0.33 | 20 | 2.745 | -6.597 | 10.0 | 80.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 |
| Organic Flow | 0.34–0.66 | 49 | 1.869 | -6.428 | 10.2 | 87.76 | 2.04 | 0.0 |
| The Powder Keg | 0.67–1.00 | 19 | 1.886 | -6.0 | 15.79 | 78.95 | 5.26 | 0.0 |

### momentum score

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % | FM % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Organic Flow | 0.34–0.66 | 68 | 1.986 | -6.544 | 13.24 | 82.35 | 4.41 | 0.0 |
| The Powder Keg | 0.67–1.00 | 20 | 2.364 | -5.796 | 5.0 | 90.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 |

## Feature bins (1h)

### height

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Q1 | -0.000978 – 0.00131 | 22 | 2.05 | -6.952 | 13.64 | 77.27 | 9.09 |
| Q2 | 0.00131 – 0.00663 | 22 | 1.966 | -6.018 | 9.09 | 90.91 | 0.0 |
| Q3 | 0.00663 – 0.0372 | 22 | 1.717 | -6.904 | 9.09 | 90.91 | 0.0 |
| Q4 | 0.0372 – 91.1 | 22 | 2.553 | -5.622 | 13.64 | 77.27 | 9.09 |

### width

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Q1 | 26 – 34.5 | 22 | 1.352 | -7.507 | 4.55 | 95.45 | 0.0 |
| Q2 | 34.5 – 41.5 | 22 | 1.607 | -5.632 | 18.18 | 81.82 | 0.0 |
| Q3 | 41.5 – 54 | 23 | 2.778 | -7.488 | 8.7 | 82.61 | 8.69 |
| Q4 | 54 – 158 | 21 | 2.54 | -4.745 | 14.29 | 76.19 | 9.52 |

### btc mean

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % | FM % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Q1 | -2.26 – 0.0393 | 22 | 1.793 | -6.201 | 13.64 | 81.82 | 4.54 | 0.0 |
| Q2 | 0.0393 – 0.489 | 22 | 2.992 | -4.795 | 22.73 | 68.18 | 9.09 | 0.0 |
| Q3 | 0.489 – 0.804 | 22 | 1.637 | -6.426 | 9.09 | 86.36 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| Q4 | 0.804 – 3.86 | 22 | 1.865 | -8.074 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |

### Pattern scale

| Bin | Range | n | Mean up | Mean down | BO % | BD % | SW % | FM % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Q1 | -0.4 – -0.0697 | 22 | 2.139 | -6.225 | 9.09 | 90.91 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Q2 | -0.0697 – 0.0422 | 22 | 2.798 | -7.599 | 4.55 | 95.45 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Q3 | 0.0422 – 0.153 | 22 | 1.854 | -5.23 | 13.64 | 77.27 | 9.09 | 0.0 |
| Q4 | 0.153 – 0.628 | 22 | 1.496 | -6.443 | 18.18 | 72.73 | 9.09 | 0.0 |